Mortgage Principal Reduction The New Sheriff.

With so many  homeowners mired in terrible ARMs  (adjustable rate mortgages) and  no viable method to free themselves from them, loan mods have been on the rise. But now there is a new sheriff in town. It’s called mortgage principal reduction.

This new program is offered by a large hedge fund that goes in and buys the homeowner’s mortgage at a discount from the lender. The homeowner is then given a new 30-year fixed rate home mortgage at just a few points over prime and credit is not an issue. Not only that,  but the homeowner who was previously underwater (owed more than the property was worth) now has a 10% equity in the home because he is given a mortgage for 90% of the current value.

Under a loan modification,  the bank modifies your current loan and lowers your rate while keeping the balance as it was. So, if you owed more than the house was worth, you are still upside down.

With mortgage principal reduction your monthly payment is now much lower because the balance has been reduced and your new loan is based on that amount.

Also, with mortgage principal reduction, there is no tax consequence for the homeowner as there would be if he/she went thru a short sale.

Larry Potter

Mortgage Principal Reduction

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RCN Communications: Their Fiduciary Duty Screw-Up, and Our Offer to Take Them Private

My team and I have been working on a proposal for RCN ever since 2007, and we made it officially known during a personal meeting with its CEO, Pete Acquino, and other C-levels two years later, on December 9, 2009 at the UBS Investors Conference in New York City.Pete asked to meet again within two weeks, and we agreed that RCN’s COO would be in touch with us. However, we didn’t hear anything from RCN’s C-levels again, and on January 18th I emailed them, immediately followed up with a call to their headquarters as listed on Pete’s business card. I didn’t hear back from them. I got busy with other projects, and on January 31st, I got a call from my sister that I’d better visit my dad in the ICU in the Netherlands because he wasn’t doing well. I flew back the next day, was able to communicate somewhat somehow with my father, and he passed away on February 17th. So, as you may understand, pursuing or chasing RCN’s non-responsive CEO was the last thing on my mind. In any case, I thought there would be no rush; little did I know that they may have been playing cahoots with ABRY Partners to sell themselves (on the cheap), as I found out on March 5th when I was checking RCN’s share price. I am not the only person feeling screwed, RCN is now being plagued by lawfirms who are planning to sue or are already suing the company’s directors for “breach of fiduciary duty”. I am not one to judge people and to complain easily, but I am pissed off that we didn’t even get the chance to join the race. We valued RCN at around $1B market cap (which would come to approximately $28,- per share; contrast that with the petty $15 that ABRY offered-the shares were trading at $12.20 before the news broke), and we’d assume and/or arrange to refinance/restructure the approximately $700M debt. This means we put the Enterprise Value of RCN at slightly below $1.7B (RCN’s cash on hand is reportedly $83.5M).

I am sure (and below I explain) that I could have raised the needed funds. This is my first public account of the rationale and vision behind our bold attempt (which was not to be).

iUHBA’s Strategic Rationale, and RCN’s Challenges to Survive

The last 2.5 years have been disastrous for most businessmen/entrepreneurs; first there was the panic around the Subprime Mortgage meltdown, and then there was, subsequently, the global economic crisis hit the fan. Around that time, my firm was looking for $2 Billion (with a B) to invest in a Fiber To The Home and 4G Wireless infrastructure in the USA and the Netherlands, so I had my share of disappointing talks with Corporate Finance specialists, Investment Bankers and potential investors. They were all interested in helping the company to the next level, but we had to ride out the crisis, and since nobody knew how long this freeze would remain, we had to stay busy one way or the other. So, my team and I mainly focused on fine-tuning the FiberBroadband Strategy, and to work on business partnerships and our business model. Several “industry watchers” may be accusing me of “inaction” or –worse- of “inability to deliver”. In the course of the last 10 years that I have worked in this industry, I have created many enemies and just a handful of friends. However, I believe we have been perfecting a business strategy over the course of 10 years, and that it will soon bear its fruits.

Since building a FTTH and 4GWL infrastructure is a painstakingly slow process (you have to physically build out the last mile, which means digging, trenching or areal works) and very expensive, we have been looking at a strategy to minimize our pain. The search for a company that would bring great synergies to our little company was on. I contacted Abovenet in 2007, but it was still in a mess, so we didn’t pursue anything; we also thought of the likes of Global Crossings. However, another company, RCN Communications, turned out to be the greatest match.

RCN isn’t the greatest company in the Cable industry (they call themselves an “alternative cable operator”), far from it. In fact, in our USA footprint they have great assets but are at the same time the weakest and smallest competitor, which was our primary reason to target RCN markets in our upcoming rollouts. Because, so we mused, when you plan to compete as a new operator in crowded markets, you better go after the weakest players; it would be easier to compete with RCN than with Verizon’s FiOS or Comcast – for many reasons, including a) RCN has no deep pockets, b) their loan covenants prevented them from major capital expenditures, and c) their profits are used to paying interest on their $700M depth. On the other hand, we were/are planning a massive assault on the RCN markets with a superior product (FTTH 1-10 Gbps per connection) and additional services (4G wireless) to create a Quintuple Play offering. This would make our offering superior to Verizon’s FiOS service.

RCN had three major attractive points to us: 1) its massive fiber optic infrastructure (12,000 fiber route miles) in the North East region, 2) its 450,000 existing customers , with 1 million households and SMEs passed and a franchise of 5 million in total, and 3) its operational structure. Thus, we would use the operational and infrastructural assets to create project synergies and as a jumping board for our FTTH and 4GWL rollouts in the RCN markets. And we would, as a turn-around strategy for RCN itself, embark on an upgrade of RCN’s HFC-system customers to superior FTTH connections with, among others, 1 Gbps internet connections. This all would be much better, for both RCN and us, than competing the crap out of each other. By leveraging the synergies we would have with RCN, we would instantly become the superior player in the market.

RCN and any other subsequent owner will never fully utilize its 12,000 fiber route miles. There is, of course, some revenues to be made off this infrastructure, but the overkill of fiber in their core market (North East Corridor) is not serving their bottomline. We, at iUHBA, also don’t need RCN in order to be successful, but it would make our lives lots easier as we’d be in control of our own metro fibers. We’d be buying an infrastructure that had cost RCN $3B to build, plus all the strategic conveniences of an operational company with almost half a million paying customers. Of course, there would be headaches inherited too, but the monthly recurring revenue RCN generates is a great medicine for that.

In short, we’d acquire RCN and leave it almost intact, we’d gradually start upgrading its existing customer base, and we’d start our 10 Gbps FTTH and 100 Mbps 4GWL rollouts in the rest of the footprint (which would be around 1 million units in total) and the rest of the franchise (of 5 million). Thus, our (iUHBA’s) investors would not be just investing is a start-up; they’d be investing in a company with true, tangible assets, with operating income, a company that would be“going concern”, which would give them the peace of mind they need, thereby minimizing the risks of our already greatly modeled FTTH and 4GWL projects, which promises gigantic growth opportunities to this company. This strategy would make us an attractive investment target for all kinds of investors.

It’s also important to note that it will be very hard for ABRY Partners to make a success of RCN, even if they split the company and sell its parts separately. RCN is a whole different animal than WOW!, which ABRY sold to Avista Capital Partners. First, RCN is laden with almost $700M debt, and even if the assumed debt will be restructured, the debtors want their money back one day or the other. Of course, RCN had to create an exit one way or the other because the majority of its debt was due to mature in 2013. How the hell would they have paid the debtors? The Deutsche Bank advised RCN in this deal with ABRY, but why? Well, the same bank held the majority of that debt!

Second, in order to compete on an equal basis in their markets, RCN has to come up with an upgrade plan and a superior product offering. Forget DOCSIS 3.0 or DOCSIS 4.0, if RCN (and all other market players) doesn’t go for FTTH (1 Gbps per connection), they are going to be the ones left standing, empty-handed, especially when the likes of iUHBA enter their markets with their services.

RCN is already the ugly duckling in their markets, and it will not turn into a beautiful swan without an extreme makeover. To dream and expect otherwise is just wishful thinking.

How would iUHBA pay for RCN, the FTTH and 4GWL rollouts, and how would we make it prosper?

Over the course of 10 years (since April 2000), my team and I have developed the FiberBroadband Strategy, which is a turn-key business strategy for the rollout and operations of FTTH and 4GWL infrastructures. We know this industry inside out, and while there are hundreds of such projects being rolled out, we know how to build such infrastructures to multiple million customers. And while Verizon’s FiOS cost its investors approximately $25B, we know how to build an even larger project for a fraction of that amount. This is what makes us “unique” in the industry.

It is, of course, easy to theorize, but raising funds is a tough job, no matter how great the theory sounds and how feasibly the vision seems. That is why I have assembled a team of Investment Bankers and Corporate Finance experts to help me structure the best strategy. I am in the process of launching N.S. Lachman & Co., which will set up a Limited Partnership that will be the fund wherein we’ll invite investors (limited partners) to participate. In search of the best legal and financial structure to represent its investors we came to the conclusion that there is no ready-made strategy to follow in order to “package” our take-private deal or two-step merger with the likes of RCN.

Below, I explain the steps in a scenario implied to describe how we would arrange the financing of such an ambitious project and acquisition.

• NSL&CO (the General Partner -GP) will set up a Private Equity investment fund (the Limited Partnership- LP), work under SEC exemption laws. The GP will provide LPs a detailed (approximately 100-page) business plan and prospectus of “RCN after the acquisition by iUHBA”, explaining most of the ins and outs, including the investee’s (which would be the newly formed, merged company) future growth potential, and revenue and earnings projections.

• This fund is different from a PE, VC or Hedge Fund, because in those structures the investors do not have a specific outline or idea where their money will end up. With the Business Plan approach, LPs will know where the majority of their money will be invested and what kind of strategies the Fund’s managers utilize to invest their money and increase value. The Prospectus gives the LPs insight in the investment strategy the fund will follow.

• The fund will not be the one to take RCN private; it will be iUHBA or a special purpose holding firm. The investee holding firm will receive capital from the fund and thereafter reinvest that money in the target company.

• The GP is basically agnostic on the final form of the transaction (tender/merger/acquisition) between iUHBA and RCN. It all revolves around the fact that the future of the investee is bright (especially when funded and groomed for future public listing, after the growth is realized and the upgrade is under way or finalized) while the RCN’s present status is doubtful and its past has been problematic, making it a depressed or struggling company.

The lawyers now suing RCN think the main breach of fiduciary duty by its directors is that RCN did not shop and try to get the best deal possible for their retail investors. I believe they are right. We were absolutely convinced that we would have been given a fair chance to at least try to acquire RCN, but they had other plans. I don’t know when they initiated serious discussions with ABRY… was it after I met them in December, or was it earlier… maybe after July 22, 2009, when I posted a question on Linkedin about RCN’s attractiveness to potential buyers. Or was there always some flirting between ABRY and RCN, and did my expression of intent help RCN to parade itself for a quick deal with ABRY, or did it not? I hope the lawyers will find out. Even if ABRY gets to acquire RCN (most likely for a higher price than they bid now), I feel that the company is worth $1.7B as it is today. I am interested in the company today, and I will be interested in it tomorrow, because after all… I am still planning a major assault on the service providers market in the RCN markers. It’s just that our project in the USA will just a bit more work than it would be with RCN. If I’d get a fair chance or opportunity to enter into an agreement with RCN (subject to financing, of course), I’d make sure I’ll have the money and the structure ready within 6 months. On the other hand, maybe now we should start looking at other firms, again.

RCN Communications: Their Fiduciary Duty Screw-Up, and Our Offer to Take Them Private

My team and I have been working on a proposal for RCN ever since 2007, and we made it officially known during a personal meeting with its CEO, Pete Acquino, and other C-levels two years later, on December 9, 2009 at the UBS Investors Conference in New York City. Pete asked to meet again within two weeks, and we agreed that RCN’s COO would be in touch with us. However, we didn’t hear anything from RCN’s C-levels again, and on January 18th I emailed them, immediately followed up with a call to their headquarters as listed on Pete’s business card. I didn’t hear back from them. I got busy with other projects, and on January 31st, I got a call from my sister that I’d better visit my dad in the ICU in the Netherlands because he wasn’t doing well. I flew back the next day, was able to communicate somewhat somehow with my father, and he passed away on February 17th. So, as you may understand, pursuing or chasing RCN’s non-responsive CEO was the last thing on my mind. In any case, I thought there would be no rush; little did I know that they may have been playing cahoots with ABRY Partners to sell themselves (on the cheap), as I found out on March 5th when I was checking RCN’s share price. I am not the only person feeling screwed, RCN is being plagued now by lawfirms who are planning to sue or are already suing the company’s directors for “breach of fiduciary duty”. I am not one to judge people and to complain easily, but I am pissed off that we didn’t even get the chance to join the race. We valued RCN at around $1B market cap (which would come to approximately $28.- per share; contrast that with the petty $15 that ABRY offered-the shares were trading at $12.20 before the news broke), and we’d assume and/or arrange to refinance/restructure the approximately $700M debt. This means we put the Enterprise Value of RCN at slightly below $1.7B (RCN’s cash on hand is reportedly $83.5M).

I am sure (and below I explain) that I could have raised the needed funds. This is my first public account of the rationale and vision behind our bold attempt (which was not meant to be).

iUHBA’s Strategic Rationale, and RCN’s Challenges to Survive

The last 2.5 years have been disastrous for most businessmen/entrepreneurs; first there was the panic around the Subprime Mortgage meltdown, and then there was, subsequently, the global economic crisis that hit the fan. Around that time, my firm was looking for $2 Billion (with a B) to invest in a Fiber To The Home and 4G Wireless infrastructure in the USA and the Netherlands, so I had my share of disappointing talks with Corporate Finance specialists, Investment Bankers and potential investors. They were all interested in helping the company to the next level, but we had to ride out the crisis, and since nobody knew how long this freeze would remain, we had to stay busy one way or the other. So, my team and I mainly focused on fine-tuning the FiberBroadband Strategy, and to work on business partnerships and our business model. Several “industry watchers” may be accusing me of “inaction” or –worse- of “inability to deliver”. In the course of the last 10 years that I have worked in this industry, I have created many enemies and just a handful of friends. However, I believe we have been perfecting a business strategy over the course of 10 years, and that it will soon bear its fruits.

Since building a FTTH and 4GWL infrastructure is a painstakingly slow process (you have to physically build out the last mile, which means digging, trenching or areal works) and very expensive, we have been looking at a strategy to minimize our pain. The search for a company that would bring great synergies to our little company was on. I contacted Abovenet in 2007, but it was still in a mess, so we didn’t pursue anything; we also thought of the likes of Global Crossings. However, another company, RCN Communications, turned out to be the greatest match.

RCN isn’t the greatest company in the Cable industry (they call themselves an “alternative cable operator”), far from it. In fact, in our USA footprint they have great assets but are at the same time the weakest and smallest competitor, which was our primary reason to target RCN markets in our upcoming rollouts. Because, so we mused, when you plan to compete as a new operator in crowded markets, you better go after the weakest players; it would be easier to compete with RCN than with Verizon’s FiOS or Comcast – for many reasons, including a) RCN has no deep pockets, b) their loan covenants prevented them from major capital expenditures, and c) their profits are used to paying interest on their $700M depth. On the other hand, we were/are planning a massive assault on the RCN markets with a superior product (FTTH 1-10 Gbps per connection) and additional services (4G wireless) to create a Quintuple Play offering. This would make our offering superior to Verizon’s FiOS service.

RCN had three major attractive points to us: 1) its massive fiber optic infrastructure (12,000 fiber route miles) in the North East region, 2) its 450,000 existing customers , with 1 million households and SMEs passed and a franchise of 5 million in total, and 3) its operational structure. Thus, we would use the operational and infrastructural assets to create project synergies and as a jumping board for our FTTH and 4GWL rollouts in the RCN markets. And we would, as a turn-around strategy for RCN itself, embark on an upgrade of RCN’s HFC-system customers to superior FTTH connections with, among others, 1 Gbps internet connections. This all would be much better, for both RCN and us, than competing the crap out of each other. By leveraging the synergies we would have with RCN, we would instantly become the superior player in the market.

RCN and any other subsequent owner will never fully utilize its 12,000 fiber route miles. There is, of course, some revenues to be made off this infrastructure, but the overkill of fiber in their core market (North East Corridor) is not serving their bottomline. We, at iUHBA, also don’t need RCN in order to be successful, but it would make our lives lots easier as we’d be in control of our own metro fibers. We’d be buying an infrastructure that had cost RCN $3B to build, plus all the strategic conveniences of an operational company with almost half a million paying customers. Of course, there would be headaches inherited too, but the monthly recurring revenue RCN generates is a great medicine for that.

In short, we’d acquire RCN and leave it almost intact, we’d gradually start upgrading its existing customer base, and we’d start our 10 Gbps FTTH and 100 Mbps 4GWL rollouts in the rest of the footprint (which would be around 1 million units in total) and the rest of the franchise (of 5 million). Thus, our (iUHBA’s) investors would not be just investing is a start-up; they’d be investing in a company with true, tangible assets, with operating income, a company that would be“going concern”, which would give them the peace of mind they need, thereby minimizing the risks of our already greatly modeled FTTH and 4GWL projects, which promises gigantic growth opportunities to this company. This strategy would make us an attractive investment target for all kinds of investors.

It’s also important to note that it will be very hard for ABRY Partners to make a success of RCN, even if they split the company and sell its parts separately. RCN is a whole different animal than WOW!, which ABRY sold to Avista Capital Partners. First, RCN is laden with almost $700M debt, and even if the assumed debt will be restructured, the debtors want their money back one day or the other. Of course, RCN had to create an exit one way or the other because the majority of its debt was due to mature in 2013. How the hell would they have paid the debtors? The Deutsche Bank advised RCN in this deal with ABRY, but why? Well, the same bank held the majority of that debt!

Second, in order to compete on an equal basis in their markets, RCN has to come up with an upgrade plan and a superior product offering. Forget DOCSIS 3.0 or DOCSIS 4.0, if RCN (and all other market players) doesn’t go for FTTH (1 Gbps per connection), they are going to be the ones left standing, empty-handed, especially when the likes of iUHBA enter their markets with their services.

RCN is already the ugly duckling in their markets, and it will not turn into a beautiful swan without an extreme makeover. To dream and expect otherwise is just wishful thinking.

How would iUHBA pay for RCN, the FTTH and 4GWL rollouts, and how would we make it prosper?

Over the course of 10 years (since April 2000), my team and I have developed the FiberBroadband Strategy, which is a turn-key business strategy for the rollout and operations of FTTH and 4GWL infrastructures. We know this industry inside out, and while there are hundreds of such projects being rolled out, we know how to build such infrastructures to multiple million customers. And while Verizon’s FiOS cost its investors approximately $25B, we know how to build an even larger project for a fraction of that amount. This is what makes us “unique” in the industry.

It is, of course, easy to theorize, but raising funds is a tough job, no matter how great the theory sounds and how feasibly the vision seems. That is why I have assembled a team of Investment Bankers and Corporate Finance experts to help me structure the best strategy. I am in the process of launching N.S. Lachman & Co., which will set up a Limited Partnership that will be the fund wherein we’ll invite investors (limited partners) to participate. In search of the best legal and financial structure to represent its investors we came to the conclusion that there is no ready-made strategy to follow in order to “package” our take-private deal or two-step merger with the likes of RCN.

Below, I explain the steps in a scenario implied to describe how we would arrange the financing of such an ambitious project and acquisition.

• NSL&CO (the General Partner -GP) will set up a Private Equity investment fund (the Limited Partnership- LP), work under SEC exemption laws. The GP will provide LPs a detailed (approximately 100-page) business plan and prospectus of “RCN after the acquisition by iUHBA”, explaining most of the ins and outs, including the investee’s (which would be the newly formed, merged company) future growth potential, and revenue and earnings projections.

• This fund is different from a PE, VC or Hedge Fund, because in those structures the investors do not have a specific outline or idea where their money will end up. With the Business Plan approach, LPs will know where the majority of their money will be invested and what kind of strategies the Fund’s managers utilize to invest their money and increase value. The Prospectus gives the LPs insight in the investment strategy the fund will follow.

• The fund will not be the one to take RCN private; it will be iUHBA or a special purpose holding firm. The investee holding firm will receive capital from the fund and thereafter reinvest that money in the target company.

• The GP is basically agnostic on the final form of the transaction (tender/merger/acquisition) between iUHBA and RCN. It all revolves around the fact that the future of the investee is bright (especially when funded and groomed for future public listing, after the growth is realized and the upgrade is under way or finalized) while the RCN’s present status is doubtful and its past has been problematic, making it a depressed or struggling company.

The lawyers now suing RCN think the main breach of fiduciary duty by its directors is that RCN did not shop and try to get the best deal possible for their retail investors. I believe they are right. We were absolutely convinced that we would have been given a fair chance to at least try to acquire RCN, but they had other plans. I don’t know when they initiated serious discussions with ABRY… was it after I met them in December, or was it earlier… maybe after July 22, 2009, when I posted a question on Linkedin about RCN’s attractiveness to potential buyers. Or was there always some flirting between ABRY and RCN, and did my expression of intent help RCN to parade itself for a quick deal with ABRY, or did it not? I hope the lawyers will find out. Even if ABRY gets to acquire RCN (most likely for a higher price than they bid now), I feel that the company is worth $1.7B as it is today. I am interested in the company today, and I will be interested in it tomorrow, because after all… I am still planning a major assault on the service providers market in the RCN markers. It’s just that our project in the USA will just a bit more work than it would be with RCN. If I’d get a fair chance or opportunity to enter into an agreement with RCN (subject to financing, of course), I’d make sure I’ll have the money and the structure ready within 6 months. On the other hand, maybe now we should start looking at other firms, again.

Global stocks face a Wile E. Coyote moment, go short!

First with Financial Comment from Arabia

For the Road Runner read the market professionals of Wall Street. And for Wile E. Coyote the majority of investors and the entire general public. So how close is the Coyote to the edge of the precipice right now?

You could almost ask any professional investment banker and get the same opinion. The 12-month stock market rally is too long and too strong not to undergo a meaningful correction or even a major crash.

One problem is that as the Coyote finds out when you get to a very high place there is only one way to go. Gravity is a force that cannot be resisted.

Markets also act like the mischievous Road Runner and lead investors up the mountain only to watch them drop off the edge of the cliff. The professionals collect their commissions as you buy into the market, and they collect commissions as you sell out.

It is such an old cycle you would have thought that investors would have learned by now. As children we all used to watch the Road Runner lure the dimwitted Coyote to the top of the mountain and shout out warnings at the television.

He never paid any attention, or learnt anything, and always fell to the bottom. He always then picked himself up and got ready to do the same thing again.

In real life we are not cartoon characters and those who risk their wealth at the top of a bear market rally will not have their capital returned. It is gone. Only the market professionals and short sellers win out.

After a stock market event there are always stories about a few hedge fund managers who went short just at the right moment. It is a bit like bribing the Road Runner to help you back down the mountain and keeping yourself intact. And actually real life is rather better for the shorts who actually make a lot of money out of crashes.

There are plenty of articles on this website explaining how to go short in ETFs which anybody with an Internet stock market account can do easily. Arabianmoney has been too early in going short. But don’t end up like the Coyote! And certainly do not stop out your shorts now!

AND THE WALLS CAME TUMBLING DOWN

I WOULD LIKE TO DIRECT YOU TO READ THE FOLLOWING ARTICLE PUBLISHED A DAY OR SO AGO. THIS ARTICLE BEARS WITNESS TO MESSENGER ELIJAH MUHAMMAD’S WORDS 100%. WE KEEP TELLING YOU THAT THE WISE OF THIS WORLD SEES THE COMING DOOM.

  THE WISE OF THE WORLD SEE THE REMOVAL OF THE OLD WORLD AND THE SETTING UP OF THE NEW. THEY ARE ALL LOOKING TO AMERICA TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS TO HER.THEY KNOW THAT SHE IS THE PILLAR OF WHITE SUPREMACY AND THE PLACE WHERE PRECEDENT IS SET.

  THEY ALL WANT AMERICA TO FALL BECAUSE THEY HATE DICTATORIAL POLICIES AND HER ARRONGANCE AGAINST THEM,THEIR OWN BROTHER. BUT THEY ARE IN FEAR BECAUSE AMERICA’S FALL DEALS A TWO EDGED SWORD. IT DESTROYS AMERICA AS A POWER,BUT IT ALSO REMOVES THE POWER OF THE CHURCH AND THE PILLARS OF ANGLO HEGEMONY AND POWER.

  THEY ARE IN TOTAL CONFUSION AS TO WHAT THEY NOW SEEK.  THEY ARE DAMBED IF THEY DO AND DAMBED IF THEY DON’T. THIS IS THE REALITY THEY NOW FACE. THEY KNOW THESE WORDS TO BE NOTHING BUT THE TRUTH.

  YOU MAY ASK,WHY ARE THEY ALL LOOKING TO AMERICA? BECAUSE THEY KNOW HISTORY.THEY KNOW SCRIPTURES,THE KNOW THEOLOGY.THEY KNOW THE LAW OF CAUSE AND EFFECT.THET KNOW THAT IF THERE IS A GOD,AND THERE IS. THAT HE MUST BRING UPON THE ANGLO WORLD IN GENERAL,BUT AMERICA SPECIFICALLY THE JUDGMENT OF JUSTICE . THE HARVEST OF THEIR DEALINGS MUST NOW BE REAPED.THIS IS THE VERY LAW PUT IN NATURE.

BUT MESSENGER ELIJAH MUHAMMAD HAS AFEW WORDS TO SAY BEFORE WE GO INTO WHAT THIS WHITE MAN’S ASSESSMENT ON AMERICA’S FUTURE IS……: “

March 09, 2010 “

Now, Harvard’s Niall Ferguson, one of the world’s leading financial historians, echoes Diamond’s warning: “Imperial collapse may come much more suddenly than many historians imagine. A combination of fiscal deficits and military overstretch suggests that the United States may be the next empire on the precipice.” Yes, America is on the edge.

Goldman Sachs : Ses 10 actions VIP

 La banque d’affaires Goldman Sachs a publié sa liste  des actions VIP, l’acronyme signifiant ici « Very Important Position ». Il s’agit des actions les plus populaires parmi les hedge funds.

PLUS DE DETAILS EN SUIVANT :

Le blog marketfolly (cliquez sur le lien) qui donne la liste complète des 50 valeurs  VIP de Goldman Sachs énumère également les actions qui entrent dans ce classement suite aux achats réalisés par les gestionnaires lors du dernier trimestre de 2009. On y trouve, entre autres, Wells Fargo, Merck, Liberty Media (actionnaire de Telenet), Amazon, IBM,…

Pas encore de commentaire.

Geithner Warns E.U.

Timothy Geithner

“These new rules could harm U.S. hedge funds, private equity funds and banks and their ability to work in Europe,” he writes in the letter dated March 1th.

“It could lead to conflicts between the U.S. and EU,” he warns.

The changes, as proposed, would restrict European investors access to invest in funds outside the EU, and funds from other places would have to deal with new rules to operate within the EU.

According to the directive, EU-based funds would also be required to use local banks for parts of its business.

Other areas that can lead to conflicts are the rules on bonuses and fees, loan restrictions and the abandonment of sensitive information.

EU diplomats will meet Thursday to discuss the new proposal.

Inside the E.U. there’s also skepticism towards the new regulations, particularly in Britain because the directive could threaten London’s position as a financial center.

Related by the Econotwist:

Top 10 Risks of 2010

Central Bank Of Norway Call For A New “Global Order”

Bernanke: “We Welcome A Review Of The FED’s Management”

Financial Fetish

Ordnung muss sein

77% of Senior Bankers Expect Another Financial Crisis by 2015

The Bailout Package Under The Christmas Tree

ETF Investors Increase 1673%

UK house prices go back into neutral

According to information released by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) it looks increasingly likely that further price increases in the domestic property market may be put on hold, as more properties continue to come on to the market. RICS announced that in February more instructions to sell came on the market than enquiries to buy, making for the second month in a row that this has happened. Analysts have always speculated that

The rise in house prices during 2009 has been because there was a shortage of both new and second hand properties for sale. In spite of the rise in volumes, however, the average price paid for private homes during the year fell 9 per cent to £166,000.

That well known bearer of bad news and inaccurate predictions the Confederation for British Industry (CBI) have come up with another winner. This time they suggest that the cash-strapped U.K. government should aim to balance its budget two years earlier than currently planned. The CBI say that such a move would go a long way to calming investor fears that Britain could lose its top-notch credit rating. They have yet to come up with suggestions of how Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling or whoever is lucky enough to replace him should go about this mammoth task, although the traditional spending cuts and reforms to public services were mentioned rather than tax increases.

In the last few weeks, newspaper polls continue to point in the direction of a coalition government for Britain in the coming elections. This will mean the first minority government since 1974, and those who remember that far back, don’t recall it as a particularly pleasant experience.

It appears that the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has their feet more firmly on the ground than some of the other public bodies. They have proved it once again by suggesting that the UK government reduce their economic growth target for 2011 from 2.3 percent down to 2.1 percent. At same time, the BCC issued a strongly worded suggestion to the government to abandon proposals to raise national insurance. To complete a cheery picture, the UK trade organisation also suggested that the UK government should rapidly address public sector pensions as well as taking a close look at public sector levels to make any progress on tackling the UK’s ever increasing budget deficit.

One of the biggest clouds hanging over the future of the Royal Mail service has finally been lifted after an agreement was reached with postal workers which means that they could be eligible to salary increase of around seven percent over the next three years, as well as a more stable job security. In return for these favours, the Communication Workers Union (CWU) need to promise to cooperate in structural changes to the organisation that will eventually transform it .

The deal, which is still to be accepted in a ballot vote by CWU members, is designed to avert the threat of further union disruption and give the green light for the Royal Mail to proceed with their proposed £2 billion modernisation programme. With their union troubles hopefully behind them, the stage will be set for Royal Mail to face some of their other challenges, including revaluating their pension fund deficit, which currently stand as £3.4 billion to at least three times that sum.

The company that manages the Channel Tunnel, the aptly named Eurotunnel, announce that they had succeed in making a £1.3 million last year, despite the effects of the “poor economic environment” as well as one or two setbacks that they experienced in 2009, which they must hope will be one-offs. These included the tunnel being closed after the fire in late 2008, not returning to normal levels until February of last year, as well as the heavy snow that made it impassible in December of 2009.

There is a buzz in the city that states that Northern Rock are about to announce multi-million pound losses in 2009, and for the third year running, Pre-tax losses are expected to be around 400 million pounds, meaning that . The bank has made losses totaling of £2 billion since being bailed out by the UK government in 2007.

Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Money, who at one time were said to be interest in acquiring Northern Rock, and are to launch themselves as a retail bank later this year, have come with a fairly innovative new proposal for potential customers. The proposal we that Virgin Bank will charge a fixed monthly fee for current account customers, payable in advance. A spokesman for the company did hasten to point out that the fees will be low and will replace high overdraft charges.

Virgin Money’s launch comes at a time when consumers have lost confidence in existing High Street banks and Virgin’s high profile as a high street trader who gets things done.

Another major UK retailer, supermarket giant Tesco are also set to expand into the banking industry, already offering credit cards, savings accounts and insurance via its Tesco Personal Finance (TPF) brand through their in-store banks.

In the meantime, supermarket chain WM Morrison are expected to report a 16 percent increase of their in full-year pre-tax profit for 2009 to £757 million when its results are announced on Thursday. Sales are expected to have risen to £15.5 billion. The supermarket’s increased penetration in the south of England has led to industry-beating sales growth and large gains in market share.

Money markets continued to be unfavourable for Sterling with the pound closing yesterday on $1.499 while also falling against the Euro on €1.1028.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index slowed down after a few days of heavy rises, up just five points, to close on 5,602.3.

Stateside, ailing insurance giant AIG have announced that they are to sell of yet another of their overseas insurance business, American Life Insurance Company (Alico) to rival MetLife for $15.5 billion (£10.3 billion), in a drive to raise funds to pay off their $182.3 billion federal bail-out.

MetLife will pay out $6.8 billion in cash and a further $8.7 billion in shares for Alico, which operates in more than 50 countries.

The announcement comes a week after AIG agreed to sell its Asian business AIA to UK group Prudential for $35.5 billion.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was holding its own, closing up 21 points on 10,585.62. The NASDAQ Composite was still climbing, rising 21 points to close on 2,347.13

How to retire early, save for a home

Like many households, Wener and Tieun Vieux have suffered a few financial jolts of late.

Wener, 36, a captain in the Army’s Judge Advocate General’s Corps, poured $23,000 of his pay into the stock market in 2008 — just in time for the meltdown. What’s more, he and Tieun, 31, a manager for a snack-food company, lost about $12,000 last year unloading the home they bought at Wener’s last duty station.

Those setbacks haven’t deterred the couple from their goals, which include retiring young (sometime in their mid- to late-fifties) and buying a big, comfortable home by 2017 (when Wener can retire from the Army with a guaranteed pension and they no longer have to relocate every three years).

But they’d like to know whether they’re properly investing their nest egg as well as the $350 a month they’re setting aside for a down payment. Their goals are in reach — they think. Says Wener: “I’d like to figure out, ‘Is this working?’ “

1. Use an IRA for the home.

Their $14,000 house fund sits in taxable accounts. But Towson, Md., planner Phil Dyer says to use Roth IRAs. They can withdraw contributions, free of taxes or penalties, at any time. And five years after they first open a Roth, each can pull out up to $10,000 in earnings for a down payment tax free, assuming they qualify under IRS rules as first-time homebuyers.

2. Dial back risk.

About 80% of the house money is in stocks. Too aggressive, says Dyer. His advice: Switch to a 60%/40% stock/bond split. As the goal nears, go to mostly bonds. A year or two before buying, go to cash. They should also trim exposure to stocks in their nest egg.

3. Be tax-efficient.

In their taxable accounts, they should replace individual stocks with index funds. And use their 401(k)s to hold bonds to minimize taxable income.

Casey Goes country Trying for Top 12-James

From the Mineral Wells Index:

By Libby Cluett and David May CNHI

“MINERAL WELLS — Cool native Casey James returned to the stool and an acoustic guitar Wednesday night, performing Keith Urban’s “You’ll Think of Me” in hopes of making the “American Idol” top 12.

It was a stark departure from his performance last week, when Idol judge Randy Jackson said he was “channeling Jimi Hendrix.”

This week, Jackson said he felt James played it “safe.”

“Don’t pull back,” Jackson told James. “It was a very safe choice.”

Ellen DeGeneres said, “I thought it was great. You’re more comfortable sitting on a stool and playing guitar, aren’t you?”

“I’m kind of back on the Casey train, kind of,” said judge Kara DioGuardi, who was critical of his performance last week. “I’m missing that spark. But it was definitely a move in the right direction.”

Simon Cowell told James he considered it his second-best performance. “I think it made you sincere. I don’t think it’s something we’ll be raving about in 24 hours.”

James and his legion of fans await Thursday night’s results show on Fox, hoping he garnered enough votes to make it to Season 9’s top 12.

Mom appreciative of support

When Debra James relayed how a friend called her and read the article about Millsap High School students collecting donations through “Caps for Casey’s Mom,” she teared up.

Last Friday, over 100 Millsap students collected close to $150 by paying $1 per infraction to wear normally prohibited caps, holey jeans or for boys to come unshaven. They did this in honor of MHS alum James to help his mother get to Hollywood to see her son perform on the Fox reality show.

“Just at a time when the world is as bad as you’ve ever seen it, people come up out of the woodwork and exhibit this kind of generosity and support,” she said. “It redeems humanity once again.”

The mother of Cool-raised Casey said she could not talk about her son’s experiences, but said her experience has been a “mind blower.”

Debra James encouraged Casey to go to the Idol audition in Denver, Colo., so he could be seen. Mission accomplished.

James, a nurse at Wise Regional Hospital in Decatur, found a trip to Hollywood a bit pricey for her budget, citing an $11 turkey sandwich and paying over $4 for a plain old cup of joe.

“I’m just overwhelmed and have been trying to work and keep things going,” she said. “My goal is to pray more. It’s quite a ride.”

Casey’s mom said she’s grateful for all the area fundraisers that will eventually help her with expenses. She said she wants people who have helped in Millsap, Cool, Mineral Wells, Weatherford and the region to know, “How overwhelmed I am about all this stuff going on to get me to Hollywood.”

“I was just blown away about the Millsap ‘Caps for Casey’s Mom,’” she said. “Everybody – people I don’t even know – have been so supportive.”

So far, many have come together to help Debra James with her expenses. A Weatherford/Hudson Oaks contingent, comprised of Craig’s Music, College Park Pack-n-Mail and Ultimate Cupcakes has fielded donations from individuals, like Southwest Airline tickets and cash.

“We’ve all been collecting money to get Debra to and from Los Angeles,” said Craig’s Music’s Craig Swancy, who received the Millsap High School funds. In addition, he said, “A gentleman walked through the door the other day and remained anonymous and dropped $100 off for Debra.”

“It’s all good stuff, everybody’s lending a hand,” added Swancy. “As I like to say its good people doing good work for other good people.”

He has known Debra James and her sons since Casey, now 27, was 13 to 14. “She’s been dropping the boys off since,” he said, adding, “They’ve spent many hours in the store.”

“She is a very sweet, charming and hard-working single mom,” said Swancy. “She’s a nurse by trade and is a very kind and caring person – you have to be to be a nurse.”

Some in the area may recall red-haired Debra, also a musician, who once worked at Mineral Wells Care Center. Occasionally, she and Casey would play for the residents.

Music runs through the family. America now knows Casey sings and plays guitar, but not nearly as many know his older brother, B.C. (also known as Billy), is an accomplished musician. Before this season of American Idol, B.C. played the bass in a band with Casey.

Both guitars James used in “American Idol” came from Craig’s Music, as did the Gibson J-45 used in “Crazy Heart,” according to Swancy. He said he sold it to the late Stephen Bruton, who was musical director for the film. He also sold a guitar to T. Bone Burnett, producer for the movie.

“I’m very proud to see someone with all this talent on ‘American Idol,’” Swancy said of the local Idol star. “What ‘American Idol’ doesn’t realize is there’s five to six more Casey Jameses in this area. We’re blessed with a lot of talent. Some of these guys don’t go looking for a break. Casey did, and he got a break.”

In addition to the Weatherford/Hudson Oaks fundraising efforts, friends have set up a bank account in Debra James’ name at First Financial Bank in Mineral Wells to help offset costs to see her Idol son.

She said couldn’t swing a trip to see Casey perform this week, but hopes she will be able to go next week, provided he is still in the contest.

James wanted to let those who have given know, “If something happens and Casey gets voted off this week – America’s fickle – I will donate [contributions] to a battered women’s shelter. That money will only be used to go see him. Although it would help me to recoup some [previous] expenses, I’m not going to use it [for that].”

Make the best of a bad 401(k)

You’re probably feeling a lot better about your 401(k) these days, and not without reason. The average balance for experienced workers, after declining 19% in 2008, bounced back 29% last year, including new contributions.

But it’s important to remember that short-term market gyrations are unlikely to determine your ultimate success or failure as a retirement saver.

And the truth is, many 401(k) plans have serious design flaws, from awful investment choices to missing company matches to outrageously steep fees.

“About one-third of 401(k) plans tend to be really bad, another third are questionable, while the top third are acceptable to varying degrees,” says Matthew Hutcheson, an independent 401(k) fiduciary in Portland, Ore.

If you’re trapped in a lousy plan, don’t ditch it. A 401(k) is a savings vehicle that you can pretty much set on autopilot. And even subpar plans give you valuable tax benefits. Still, it’s crucial to understand how good your plan is and how to compensate for its shortcomings. That will brighten your retirement prospects even in murky markets.

Among the most common issues you’re likely to face:

MISSING ASSET CLASSES:

While the average 401(k) offers workers 18 funds to choose from, you really need only seven or eight — as long as they cover the key types of investments needed to construct a fully diversified portfolio. Alas, that’s not often the case.

Even the nation’s biggest 401(k) plans fall short in some key areas. Take Procter & Gamble. The consumer product giant’s $1.2 billion plan lets workers invest in a choice of nine funds, in addition to P&G stock. But if employees are looking for investments other than stocks that will protect their portfolios against the ravages of inflation, they’re out of luck. The P&G plan does not offer funds that specialize in real estate investment trusts (REITs), emerging-markets stocks, or Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) — which are all classic inflation hedges.

To be fair, P&G does offer workers access to profit-sharing and employee stock-ownership plans in addition to the 401(k). Still, if a plan the size of Procter & Gamble’s doesn’t include all the tools a worker could need, you can see why the odds are slim that a smaller plan will. And in fact, a recent survey by the consulting firm Hewitt Associates found that a majority of plans are missing several key elements.

The solution: Your first step is to check if your 401(k) has a so-called self-directed brokerage window. This feature allows you to bypass your plan’s limited offerings and invest in just about any stock or fund of your choosing.

For example, Caterpillar doesn’t offer real estate funds in its plan. But like 26% of providers, the construction-equipment firm makes available a brokerage window through which employees have access to a myriad of funds that do.

You’ll probably be charged $50 to $100 a year for using this window in most plans, as well as trading fees and commissions on your trades. Still, that could be worth it if you don’t trade too frequently within your 401(k).

If your plan doesn’t offer such a window, bring your other retirement accounts into the mix. Say your plan offers enough choices to diversify into U.S. stocks and bonds as well as foreign developed-market equities — but lacks an emerging-markets option. If that’s the case, take full advantage of what your 401(k) has, and use your Roth IRA to invest in an emerging-markets fund. If you don’t qualify for a Roth IRA or a tax-deductible IRA, use your taxable brokerage account to gain emerging-markets exposure.

FUNDS WITH LOUSY RECORDS:

Most 401(k) funds are actively managed. And the sad truth is, most of them are run by stock and bond pickers who lag the indexes they’re paid to beat. Indeed, 63% of stock funds that invest in large companies failed to beat their benchmarks over the past five years. So, what if you have the misfortune of being in a plan chock-full of losers?

The solution: First, see if you can sidestep those actively managed funds by going with index funds, says Chicago financial adviser Leisa Aiken. Because index funds buy and hold all the stocks in a particular market or segment, they just about match the return of a given asset class.

The good news is that overall, more than seven in 10 401(k)s offer at least one index fund. And among large plans, 97% have at least one index option that tracks U.S. stocks, while 42% provide at least one intermediate-term bond index choice. So there’s a good chance you can put the bulk of your 401(k) money in those offerings.

Once you do that, you can fill out the rest of your asset-allocation strategy in several ways. For starters, look for the least objectionable actively managed funds in your 401(k) to invest in specialized asset classes.

To pick the best of your bad lot, go to Morningstar.com. Plug in the fund’s name, and the site will show that portfolio’s “percent rank in category.” Ideally you’ll want to go with a fund that finished in the top 50% of its category over the past five years. This won’t guarantee the fund can repeat, but it’s at least a sign of sustained solid performance. If your plan lacks choices that accomplish this feat, put your money into the ones that come the closest.

If your spouse has a 401(k), use your bad plan to invest solely in index funds. And if her plan offers better actively managed funds, use it to diversify your collective kitty.

RISKY TARGET-DATE RETIREMENT FUNDS:

Many 401(k) plans now automatically default you into a target-date fund, all-in-one portfolios that expose you to a mix of stocks and bonds, and then automatically shift to a more conservative blend as you age. Their appeal: You can literally set them and forget them.

But during the market crash, some target funds failed to deliver the secure retirement investors expected. The AllianceBernstein Retirement Strategy funds, for instance, took a big hit because of their bigger-than-average stake in stocks. AllianceBernstein’s 2010 fund, designed for those retiring this year, lost 33% in 2008.

Unfortunately, most 401(k)s offer just one set of target funds, so if you want to put your plan on autopilot, you may be directed into one that’s riskier than you’d like.

The solution: Start by figuring out your target fund’s current mix of stocks and bonds, as well as what blend it will shift to at retirement. That shifting mix will be among the biggest determinants of the fund’s potential returns — and risk.

Morningstar studied the performance of 2010 target funds and found that those with 65% or more of their assets in stocks lost 27% or more in 2008. Meanwhile, most funds with less than 40% in equities fell less than 21%.

How can you tell if your target fund is taking on more risk than its peers? One way is to look up the asset allocation of the average target fund that’s just entering retirement phase. You can do that by going to iShares.com. This family of exchange-traded funds runs a set of ETFs that tracks the S&P target-date indexes. So if you look up the iShares S&P Target Date 2010 Index fund, you’ll find that its exposure to stocks is about 50%.

If your plan’s target-date offering is much more aggressive — and you’re uncomfortable with that — you can elect to go with the target that’s five or 10 years closer to retirement. So if you’re 50 and plan to retire in 2025, instead of going with the 2025 fund, try the 2020 or 2015 offering.

Before the financial crisis, only 6% of plans didn’t offer workers a matching contribution as an incentive to boost participation. But that number spiked last year, as another 12% of employers reduced or suspended their matches.

There’s relief in sight: About a third of firms that cut matches are planning to bring them back this year, including Ford and Black & Decker. But not all plans are restoring them to pre-crisis levels — for instance, FedEx is bringing back half its previous match — which means there will be less free money to help you achieve your long-term goals.

The solution: If you have a missing or reduced match, there’s no getting around the fact that you’ll have to make up the difference by saving more.

How much more? Typically, a full match is 3% of salary. If you don’t think you can put away that much more now, plan to gradually boost your contribution over the next few years, says Ann Arbor financial adviser Rob Oliver.

The question is, Should you use your matchless 401(k) or a Roth IRA to invest that extra savings? In most cases — unless there are a host of other serious problems with your plan, such as extremely high fees (see the next section) — your 401(k) will still make the most sense, says Vic Hess, a financial adviser in Tucson.

One exception: If you’re in such a matchless plan and expect to have a higher tax rate at retirement, max out your Roth IRA. Then put additional savings into the 401(k).

In the long run, it’s the fees your 401(k) charges that can make or break you — a GAO study found plans charging 1.5% in annual investment expenses are likely to give you a 20% smaller nest egg than those charging just 0.5%.

Ideally, your 401(k) should cost you no more than 1% of assets each year in total expenses, though the reality is you’re most likely to meet that goal if you’re in a large-company plan. Large 401(k)s can typically charge less, in part because they qualify for so-called institutional-share-class funds, or cheaper versions of funds that individuals can get on their own. Among plans with over $1 billion in total assets, 57% use these cheaper share classes for most of their investment options.

Still, some big employers have not fully leveraged their ability to cut expenses. In 2008, Wal-Mart was sued by employees in part for offering only retail-share-class funds in its 401(k) rather than the cheaper versions. While the suit has been working its way through the courts, Wal-Mart has made some changes. The company added institutional-share-class target-date funds to its 401(k) and plans to offer more of these lower-cost options.

The solution: Start by assessing how much your plan actually charges. This can be tough, because plans are not required to disclose all their costs.

While the federal government is debating how to improve fee disclosure, the private sector has stepped in. BrightScope.com, a San Diego startup that rates 401(k)s, has launched an online tool that gives you a free personal fee report. So far the company has expense data for 31,000 401(k)s, which cover more than 50% of participants.

Once you register and supply information about your investment choices, click on “fee details” to find out the estimated percentage of your 401(k) that you are paying in expenses each year.

Another click gives you a breakdown of the fees by category, such as management expenses, advisory fees, and record-keeping costs. (One caveat: Since most of the data are pulled from government documents, they may be two or more years out of date.)

If your 401(k) is not yet rated by BrightScope, ask your plan provider or benefits office for the information. Or if you don’t mind crunching numbers, you can dig into the plan documents to get a rough idea of the fees your plan charges.

Even if your plan is pricier than average, you may do well to contribute anyway, especially if you don’t intend to stay with your company for more than a few years.

Remember, you can sock away more tax-sheltered money annually in a 401(k) than in an IRA — a total of up to $16,500 this year, plus another $5,500 if you’re 50 or older.

And once you leave your job, you’ll be free to roll your balance over into a low-cost IRA where you can use broad-market exchange-traded funds, which typically charge just 0.20% of assets or less. So by filling up your plan now, you are ensuring that more of your assets will grow tax-deferred in the future.

Still, if your 401(k) levies sky-high fees — say you work for a small plan and it charges 3% or more — and you expect to remain at your company for the long term, your best move may be to contribute just enough to qualify for a full match. Then invest additional savings in a low-cost IRA or in tax-efficient funds within a taxable account.

It’s hard enough to overcome one or two big flaws in your plan. But what if your 401(k) is lousy on all three counts?

The solution: In that case, your best move may be to lobby your employer for a better plan. But be strategic about it. “You will get better results if you go in armed with hard data,” says Dan Maul, head of Retirement Planning Associates, a 401(k) adviser in Kirkland, Wash.

So before you march into human resources, do some research on your plan’s fees — as well as those of your company’s primary industry competitors. You can look at your plan’s documents and check BrightScope.com. And don’t forget to gauge your funds’ recent track records. If you show how your funds consistently fail to beat their benchmarks, you might be able to leverage that to get more index fund offerings.

Another smart move is to enlist colleagues in the lobbying. “Most benefits officers want their plan to be well regarded, and they’ll pay attention if they receive a pattern of complaints,” says Trisha Brambley, president of Resources for Retirement, a 401(k) consultant in Newton, Pa.

Finally, remember your boss has more money in the 401(k) than you do. So you may find a better reception than you expect. Indeed, two-thirds of 401(k) plans tried in the past two years to negotiate lower fees with their service providers. And half tried to swap into cheaper funds.

That makes sense. Cutting costs and improving performance are sound long-term goals not only for you, but your company as well.

Love it. Live in it. Invest in It!!!!

Many Americans have more equity in their homes than they have assets in retirement plans, stocks, mutual funds, and savings combined… and for good reason.

With historically low interest rates (5% conventional, 5.25% FHA) and lower, more reasonable prices, there is no better time than right now to buy the investment where you will love living.

Structural Weakness of the US Dollar. The Dollar Rally will not last

CKECKOUT THIS ANGLO’S OPINION OF THE DOLLAR. THIS ARTICLE COMES COURTESY OF (GLOBALRESEARCH.CA) 

Most observers discuss Europe’s problems and the plight of the euro, pound, and the Danish and Swedish koronas. They believe these European currencies will plunge lower versus the dollar and that the dollar will maintain, even after a dollar rally from 74 to 81 on the USDX. As we have said before the euro was unnatural creation born of a desire to usher in a world currency. As we shall see in the future the euro will fail. In spite of that the dollar is certainly no bargain, because next year America will be totally bankrupt. As a result of the terrible conditions among currencies, gold makes great gains. Last year and so far this year gold is up 10% to 24% against many major currencies. This kind of action of course proves again that gold is the world’s strongest currency. We might add here that we believe that it is only a matter of time before the LBMA, or Comex, or the ETFs, GLDs and SLVs are enveloped in scandal. As so often has happened in history fiat currencies have collapsed. Thus, it will happen again. Those of you not in gold and silver related assets will lose most of what you have worked for your entire lives.

The collapse of currencies and nations won’t happen overnight, because their demise has been planned, and a subtle collapse is in process. Our guess is that next year is when the collapse will finally take place followed by one of the greatest deflationary depressions of all time. During the last 2-1/2 years all the toxic investments have been and will continue to be transferred from the Illuminist banks, brokerage houses, insurance companies and transnational conglomerates to the public. The Federal Reserve is the repository for this junk, which includes Treasuries and Agencies. That means the public foots the bill. Every government and bank in the world will be affected. This magical game of 3-card-Monte will never work and the Illuminists know it won’t work. That is why they have war on demand to distract the public and to escape punishment for the devastating thing they have brought upon mankind. What we are facing is as bad if not worse than the collapse of the Lombard system in Venice in 1348, the year of the plague and the collapse of the Hanseanic League in the 1600s, the creation of the Medici’s. For starters we already have 19 bankrupt or near bankrupt major countries and many others that will be pulled into the vortex of financial and economic calamity. In each country we see the Illuminists doing their evil work, legends in their own minds, in a system that they know cannot survive. They are waiting for orders to pull the plug in each and every country. These masters of the universe all know that prosperity cannot be created by printing money and issuing credit indefinitely. They know full well that such a system cannot survive.

Overall the issuance of bank credit declined $470 billion, or about 5% y-o-y. Loans to individuals and small to medium sized companies fell some 20%. We do not interpret this as deflationary, but it sure doesn’t reflect a growing economy. These small to medium sized companies are the ones that create 80% of the jobs. Fed mantra has been save the banks and NYC and then we’ll see what we can do for the 21-1/8% of unemployed. At the same time Fed holdings of MBS was $69 billion. Today it is $1.027 trillion. This was not done to save the public or their homes, but to bail out banks and allow the taxpayer to pay for it.

The sales of bonds are booming at record low interest rates. Buyers obviously think rates are going to stay low forever. Just last week investors bought $2.6 billion in global bond funds. This has been going on for more than a year. Buyers are left with slight gains and small yields, risks hardly worth taking. At the same time gold and silver and related shares rose more than 24%. What could they be thinking about? In the meantime debt prices have held in spite of the disruption in Europe over Greece and the euro. Then the international elitists oversubscribed Greece’s bond offering by three times. The yield was 6-3/8%, but Greece is bankrupt and has been for years.

All this considered inflation is still strongly in place at least for another year and perhaps beyond. A lot depends on how quickly, financial conditions deteriorate among the 19 nations, in the financial system. All indications are that liquidity is being removed. If this continues one year to 1-1/2 years down the line things will freeze up.

Presently the dollar carry trade moves relentlessly onward, but not at its previous pace. A higher dollar impedes such activity. This is why presently the 19 current basket cases can continue to float along. There is still plenty of liquidity out there.

Just to show you how far from the world of reality the Fed is, last week Fed of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker told us the central bank was being made a scapegoat to satisfy anger over bailouts as Congress seeks to limit its consumer-protection and bank-supervision powers. This just doesn’t wash. There is no question that the Fed was at the center of the problem. It blatantly was to save the financial sector and screw the public.

We conclude that the Fed will continue to provide low interest rates and vast liquidity to the US and world financial systems. The Volcker Rule” will be used to deflect criticism, but little will change unless we can get rid of the Fed. The excesses and bubbles will go on unless the Fed is disarmed. What is really distressing is that none of the financial media, nor alternative media, points out that the Fed is at the root of this credit crisis. They caused it and it was done deliberately.

The idea of too big to fail will persist even after any deflationary collapse. Nothing will change unless the elitists want it to change – the concept is at the base of power in the financial world. This finance bubble can only be disrupted by the failure of national economies. There are 19 in that position presently, and what it boils down to is whether and when these elitists want to pull the plug on liquidity and seriously want to enter a deflationary era. For the time being, over the next 18 months, inflation and perhaps hyperinflation will prevail. Politicians are 90% in the pockets of these people, so unless we can unseat more than half of the incumbents in Congress, the elitist grip on our society will prevail. In the meantime it is inflation and or hyperinflation followed by deflation this year and next year.

As a result investors are in a tear again buying stocks and bonds with obviously little fear of any consequences. They have forgotten what we just went through and the chance of that reoccurring is excellent. They are of course in league with those who are doing “God’s work.” This is representative of those on Wall Street, who said they could not have seen what was coming. They made billions of dollars and walked away from destroying our economy scott-free. These people are not stupid, thus, they are liars, gloating over their riches and how the public cannot touch them because they own the politicians, regulatory agencies and the courts.

Greece and 18 other countries have financial problems, but just as much in trouble are the states – some 40 of them. The states cannot print money, so they’ll have to face the music. They’ll all have to face austerity, which is the anti-thesis of growth, which creates a death spiral and perpetual recession or depression. The only alternative, short of a deflationary depression, is to expand money and credit.

The dollar rally we have seen over the past couple of months could soon be coming to an end, as world deflation reasserts itself. The surge and undertow of deflation has to be met with ever more inflation to offset it. The bubbles that fueled inflation, the stock market of the late 1990s and the real estate bubbles are long past gone. All that is left is massive credit.

Just as in the 1930s the Federal Reserve will eventually take us into a deflationary depression. That is what Greece was all about. The table is being set for the end of inflation probably within the next two years.

We see a general contraction of credit worldwide and unless reversed the inevitable will unfold. What is even more dangerous than in the 1930s is the enormous leverage that exists today. When this come down it will be with a thundering roar. That is because few have the ability to pay. It is totally inconceivable that the US government can pay back its liabilities. That means that other nations that hold 60-1/2% of their foreign exchange in US dollars will take tremendous losses from which they won’t easily recover. China and Japan, along with Middle East oil producers, will take unbelievable losses. All creditors will be big losers.

In this wringer no nation seems to want to reduce spending or is prepared for any kind of austerity. Greece is a good example. Each day sees more and more demonstrations. No one wants to take the economic and financial pain. The good days are supposed to go on endlessly. Not only does the public not want reduced employment, but they also do not want increased taxation. What is extremely interesting is that those in charge of monetary theory at the Fed know that monetary inflation does not work. They also know that the minute they can no longer control deflation with inflationary monetary policy the game is over. The Fed and other central banks are currently playing a very dangerous game. That is keeping inflation up, but only enough to stop hyperinflation. This is like sitting on the edge of a knife. One false move the game is over. Global credit is evaporating and the Fed and others are attempting at the same time to remove some of the excess in the system. We do not think it will work. If it does not work it is depression for many years to come.

As this transpires lending to individuals and small and medium size businesses have fallen some 16% to 20% dependent on whose figures you use. On a national basis credit, some $700 billion to $1 trillion has been lost.

If you put this all together you will find that the only logical outcome can be devaluations, multilateral debt default and a deflationary depression. That is ultimately where we are headed and where we have always been headed.

Last week the Dow gained 2.3%; S&P 3.1%; the Russell 2000 6% and the Nasdaq 100 3.8%, all on a doctored employment report. If the Dow does not break out to new highs shortly it is liable to descend downward fairly quickly. Banks rose 2.4%; utilities 2.8%; high tech 3.6%; semis 3.7%; Internets 4.8% and biotech 12.7%. Gold bullion rose almost $15.00, the HUI gained 6.1% and the USDX stalled at 0.46.

Two-year Treasury bills rose 8 bps to 0.81%; the 10-year notes rose 7 bps to 3.68% and the 10-year German bunds rose 5 bps to 3.15%.

The Freddie Mac 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates fell 8 bps to 4.97%. The 15’s fell 7 bps to 4.33% and One-Year ARMs jumped 12 bps to 4.27%. The 30-year jumbos fell 1 bps to 5.87%.

M2 narrow money supply rose $10.3 billion to $8.537 trillion. Total money market fund assets rose $1.7 billion to $3.168 trillion.

We have only seen three other reports that have expressed a similar outcome. One has seen deflation for ten years and they finally will be right, the other two are recent. A few months ago when we wrote of deflation over the next couple of years and when we spoke of it as well on radio, we were attacked for such utterances.  We have known what the end game has been for 50 years. Few others have. Almost all never saw and still do not see the Illuminists final solution to bring about world government. If you do not understand that you can never grasp the true situation and its logical conclusion. Most who eventually understand will be too late. The remainder will never know what hit them. All currencies are linked to the US dollar and there lies the word’s weakness. As the dollar goes, so does all other currencies, especially in view of the fact that nations have far less gold today than previously, if any at all. We really do not have any idea what gold reserves are, because they all lie about everything. This is why we expect multilateral devaluation and debt settlement as well as tariffs on goods and services. We expect that charge to be led by England as they break away from the European Union.

China is taking its own course, and will continue to dump dollars as best they can. They see trade tariffs on the horizon. China is now challenging Japan in trade, as the US acts in its own interests against both countries. Due to their large dollar denominated holdings the US dollar has to head lower as US debt continues to pile up, only to be monetized. US, Wall Street, banking and government just do not care. They just keep running up debt, running the economy and finances into the ground. Due to this course of action over the past 25 to 30 years they have now made China, Japan and others into adversaries. Next comes the big fall in the dollar and sometime over the next two years the multilateral devaluations and defaults. Foreigners hold $3.3 trillion in US debt and the US is going to get a good part of it back, which will push the country into bankruptcy.

The US is in a box and they cannot get out. There is no viable exit other than bankruptcy. This is why you have to have gold and silver related assets. It is impossible to pay off debt. This time it is really different. Based on history America is financial toast. The path for destruction was set on August 15, 1971, when America fled the gold standard. It took 38 years but it is time to pay the piper.

US Treasuries and other national government debt are “the most dangerous market there is” and investors should avoid the securities because of governments’ excessive borrowing, Dan Fuss, vice chairman of investment manager Loomis Sayles, told Reuters on Tuesday.

“The most dangerous market there is national government debt because the borrowing doesn’t seem to be ending soon — and it’s not just a US phenomenon,” Fuss, who helps oversee more than $142 billion in assets at Boston-based Loomis, said in an interview.

Fuss added he thinks that the Federal Reserve — the US central bank — will not raise short-term interest rates for all of 2010.

US Senator Scott Brown, driving past neat rows of palm trees and haciendas, brought his political star power to Arizona yesterday to join his senior colleague Senator John McCain at a campaign rally that featured strongly worded denunciations of the Democrats’ proposed health care plan.

If the sight of a freshman senator from Massachusetts arriving to burnish the conservative credentials of the GOP’s 2008 presidential nominee was somewhat jarring, so too were the swarms of Phoenix residents seeking Brown’s autograph in a crush after the rally.

“I’m honored to be in Antelope country!’’ Brown told a crowd of about 1,000 in the gymnasium of Grand Canyon University, a nondenominational Christian school whose sports teams are known affectionately as the ’Lopes. [I guess we now know where Brown is coming from.]

The thawing of the credit markets in 2009 spawned record debt sales as companies sought to ensure they had enough capital to run their businesses and meet their debt obligations. Corporate bond sales worldwide climbed 31% to $3.04 trillion and issuance of high-yield, high-risk securities — the most lucrative market for underwriters — ballooned by 181% to $207 billion. Both set records.  The new bond issues earned bankers $18.8 billion in fees from debt underwriting, a 31% increase over 2008 and equal to the record set in 2007.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. sold $1.81 billion of debt backed by mortgage securities, as it seeks to raise cash after the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

The rise of carry trades, in which investors take advantage of interest-rate differences between countries, may signal bigger swings in currencies during crises, the Bank for International Settlements said.  Variations in interest rates played a larger role in the latest financial turmoil than in either the Asian financial crisis of 1997-1998, or following the Russian debt default in 1998. That may reflect the ‘increasing role carry trades play in exchange rate movements,’ it said.  ‘This factor may have changed the dynamics of exchange rates around crises more generally, affecting a broader set of currencies and leading to more pronounced swings in exchange rates during and after crisis episodes,’ the BIS said.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bondholders shouldn’t assume the government will make them whole on their investments as Congress retools the companies, House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank said.  Please don’t think this is federally guaranteed, I don’t think it is, I don’t think it should be, I don’t feel any obligation to bail you out, Frank told reporters. Congress will ‘certainly not’ extend any new protections to bond and mortgage-security investors beyond what exists, Frank said.  A ‘whole range’ of options is being considered for investors in the two government-seized companies, from paying nothing to a haircut to whatever, Frank said. 

In fall 2008, after Lehman Brothers collapsed and other Wall Street firms seemed ready to topple, New York appeared to be headed for a brutal recession, one that would rival the worst downturns in the city’s history.  Now city officials and private economists are revising their forecasts with a drastic change in tone. The gathering consensus is that the recession is nearly over in the city and, largely because of the enormous amount of federal aid poured into the big banks, the toll on New York will be much less severe than most had feared.

Initially, the BLS did not publish any Net Birth/Death Adjustments in the February Employment Report. About two hours after the report was issued the BLS posted the February B/D Adjusted of 97k jobs.

Household Survey Data

In February, the number of unemployed persons, at 14.9 million, was essentially unchanged, and the unemployment rate remained at 9.7 percent.

In February, the civilian labor force participation rate (64.8 percent) and the employment-population ratio(58.5 percent) were little changed.

The number of persons working part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) increased from 8.3 to 8.8 million in February, partially offsetting a large decrease in the prior month. These individuals were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job.

This pushed the U-6 to 16.8% from 16.5%.

U-6 Not-Seasonally Adjusted is unchanged at 17.9%, barely above the record 18% set in January.

US corporations have cut millions of workers to part-time status in order to avert large-scale layoffs.  This has kept the headline unemployment number from being far worse. 

Due to the huge number of part-time workers (8.8m) & temporary workers (2m) when the economy starts to improve materially, firms will not hire a significant number of workers until millions of part-time employees regain their full-time status.  [Heed IRS tax data to discern the bounce.]

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls declined by 0.1 hour to 33.8 hours in February. The manufacturing workweek for all employees dropped by 0.4 hour to 39.5 hours, and factory overtime decreased by 0.2 hour…the average workweek for production or nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls fell by 0.2 hour to 33.1 hours.  [This clearly refutes ISM and PMI claims, doesn’t it?]

In February, temporary help services added 48,000 jobs…temporary help services employment has risen by 284,000…In February, employment in the federal government edged up. The hiring of 15,000 temporary workers for

Census 2010 was partially offset by a decline in U.S. Postal Service employment.

The Household Survey shows an increase of 308,000 jobs, but the BLS did not report this in the preamble to the report [see above].  Most of the gain is due to 233,000 gain in ‘Men 20 years and older’.

‘Men 16 year and older’ account for 297,000 of the 308,000 jobs gain in the Household Survey!

Last month, ‘Women 20 years and older’ produced 529,000 of the 541,000 job gain.  ‘Men 20 years and older’ lost 1,000 jobs.  This is absurd!

For February, ‘Women 20 years of age and older’ increased only 11,000.  

Why is there such a ridiculous and improbable imbalance between the genders in employment for January and February?   Someone is getting very careless with the ‘adjustments’. Self-employed workers increased 22,000.

The ‘Exhaustion Rate’ of unemployment benefits hit a record 54.11% as of January 31, 2010.

Gallup: Underemployment 19.8% in February, on Par With January

A majority of the underemployed are not hopeful about finding work.

Gallup estimates that nearly 30 million Americans continue to work less than their desired capacity, and the majority of these remain unhopeful that they will find work in the next four weeks.

The only reason that Jan consumer credit expanded, but it declined NSA, is due to federal intervention.

The Fed: Consumer Credit Outstanding (Millions of dollars; not seasonally adjusted)

Federal Government credit for: Jan 2008 is 103121.91; Jan 2009 is 118005.64 (+14883.73 y/y) and Jan 2010 is 196346.67 (+78341.93y/y)

The Federal Government component of Consumer Credit increased 10.36187B m/m in January 2010.  In January 2009, it increased 7.02095B m/m.  In January 2008 it increased only 4414.86 million.

This is a perfect illustration on how government intervention coupled with seasonal adjustments that do not account for government intervention manufacture better-than-reality economic data.

Motorists are well down the road to higher pump prices as warmer weather and the driving season approach.

Average retail gasoline prices, continuing a surge that started last month, have now matched their 2010 high on the way to prices that many analysts believe will top $3 per gallon this spring.

The nationwide average retail gasoline price rose 0.6 cents Monday to $2.753 per gallon, virtually identical to the high water mark of $2.7583 reached on Jan. 14, according to AAA, Wright Express and Oil Price Information Service.

Prices have risen 9.2 cents in the last month and are now 80.6 cents higher than levels of a year ago.

A Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. plan to auction more than $1 billion in assets seized from failed banks next month, including a loan to build a W Hotel in Atlanta, may trigger writedowns that weaken lenders nationwide.

Almost half of the loans were originated by Silverton Bank N.A., whose collapse last May was the biggest in Georgia history. Community banks that joined Silverton in providing $80 million for the 237-room hotel and condominium complex, as well as backing for 39 other projects, could be forced to write down their stakes to reflect sale prices.

The auctions may have wider repercussions. Of the $41 billion in assets seized from failed banks held by the FDIC as of the end of January, $15.6 billion are real estate loans and about 4 percent of those involve participations by other lenders, according to agency spokesman Andrew Gray.

“These banks can’t believe that the regulator they pay to protect them is going to sell these loans to someone who can flip them and cause them serious losses,” said Robert Reynolds, a lawyer at Reynolds Reynolds & Duncan LLC in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, who represents 25 lenders that took part in financing the W Hotel. “Our banks just cannot believe they’re being treated in a way that ultimately hurts the FDIC’s insurance fund, because some of them are right on the edge.”

“Nasr 1 missile is a cruise missile capable of destroying 3-ton weighted vessels,” Iranian Defense Minister Brigadier General Ahmad Vahidi said at a ceremony to inaugurate Nasr 1 production line at the defense ministry’s Aerospace Industries Organization. 
Vahidi also said that Nasr 1 is a short-range coast-to-sea and sea-to-sea missile which could be fired from coasts and all types of vessels. 

He announced that his ministry plans to enhance tactical capabilities of the missile, saying the missile will soon be equipped with the capability to be fired from choppers and submarines. 

The minister stressed that once the Army’s Navy and the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) naval forces come in possession of these mass-produced cruise missiles, the Islamic Republic of Iran’s naval defense capability would experience an outstanding jump forward. 

In December 2008, The Iranian naval forces successfully test-fired the surface-to-surface Nasr 1 in the final stage of Unity 87 wargames in the Persian Gulf waters. 

The surface-to-surface Nasr-1 missile was fired from a warship and hit its target at a distance of 30 km (19 miles) and destroyed it. It was the first test of the new missile. 

The Unity 87 wargames started on December 2, 2008 for a six-day military exercise with over 60 warships as well as fighter jets, unmanned aerial vehicles, torpedoes, light and heavy submarines and gunboats. 


The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is trying to encourage public retirement funds that control more than $2 trillion to buy all or part of failed lenders, taking a more direct role in propping up the banking system, said people briefed on the matter.

Direct investments may allow funds such as those in Oregon, New Jersey and California to cut fees for private-equity managers, and the agency to get better prices for distressed assets, the people said. They declined to be identified because talks with regulators are confidential.

Oregon’s retirement fund may contribute $100 million as regulators seek “the support of state pension funds to solve the crisis surrounding ongoing bank failures,” Jay Fewel, a senior investment officer at the Oregon State Treasury, said in a presentation at the fund’s Feb. 24 meeting. New Jersey’s fund may also participate, said Orin Kramer, chairman of New Jersey’s State Investment Council.

The FDIC shuttered 140 lenders last year and expects the tally may be higher in 2010. Regulators have avoided signing up private-equity firms as rescuers on concern that they might take too much risk. Pension funds, whose 100 largest members manage $2.4 trillion, could provide capital to acquire deposits and outstanding loans from collapsed banks, according to the people.

Optimism among the country’s small businesses slipped in February as entrepreneurs worried about repeatedly weak sales, the National Federation of Independent Business said in a survey released on Tuesday.

The NFIB said its monthly small business optimism index dropped 1.3 points to 88.0 in February from January with the index below 90 for 17 straight months, and below 90 in all but four months since January 2008.

“Credit access is not a major factor holding up economic growth, at least the kind of growth we want,” said William Dunkelberg, chief economist for NFIB.

The survey showed 34 percent of the small business owners said weak sales are their top business problem.

“Owners will borrow when expectations that sales will rise and generate new revenue to pay for investments and new hires become positive,” Dunkelberg said.

Small business owners continued to liquidate inventories and weak sales trends gave little reason to order new stocks.

Ordinarily leaner stocks should mean big production gains, but stubbornly high unemployment and sluggish income growth are holding back domestic demand.

The U.S. economy resumed growth in the second half of 2009 following the worst recession since the 1930s. The labor market has lagged the recovery as businesses remain skeptical of the sustainability of the rebound.

“Something is preventing owners from “pulling the trigger,” Dunkelberg said. “Very few owners felt that growth opportunities were solid enough to warrant expansion.”

Owners complained that “poor sales” was their top problem, and there is no need to hire with no new customers, NFIB said.

Over the next three months, more small business owners are planning to cut jobs than add.

“Net job creation will appear in the coming months, but the gains will be painfully slow with timid consumer spending, especially in the service sector,” said Dunkelberg.

Analysts widely expect nonfarm payrolls to swing into positive territory in March. The economy has shed 8.4 million jobs since the start of the recession in December 2007.

Payrolls have dropped every single month since then, with the exception of last November when they grew by 64,000.

US consumer confidence fell in March to its lowest level in a year, as high unemployment and the ways in which the government is using taxpayer money draw mounting apprehension in households, a research group said on Tuesday.

Investor’s Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence said their IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index slipped to 45.4 in March from February’s reading of 46.8.

A group of nearly 200 “extremely concerned citizens” in a small Montana county are demanding that local leaders fill out a “questionnaire” pledging to form a local militia, prohibit mandatory vaccinations, boot the EPA out of town, allow citizens to bear any type of gun, and require federal government employees to get written approval before approaching “any Citizen.”

Organized in part by a group called Celebrating Conservatism, which is lead by a woman who quit the state GOP after complaining of “fake” Republicans, the questionnaire was presented this week to the county commissioners and sheriff of Ravalli County, according to the local Republic newspaper.

Celebrating Conservatism’s worldview appears to be rooted in the militia movement. Last year it hosted Jack McLamb, head of the Idaho-based Police and Military Against the New World Order, which agitates against “world government rule.”

Ravalli County, population 35,000, sits about an hour south of Missoula in southwestern Montana.

The Ravalli questionnaire, which you can read here, demands that local officials pledge:

To form and command a county militia of all citizens 18 or older. However, it adds: “Note: Women must serve, but not in a combat capacity unless the men are in danger of being overrun.”

“To absolutely prohibit all efforts, Federal, State or city, that infringe upon the right to keep and bear arms including the requirement to have a permit to carry a concealed weapon and restrictions on the kinds of weapons one may possess and carry, e. g., fully automatic, silenced, length of barrel, length of blade, opening mechanism of a knife, etc.”

To require federal employees to obtain written permission from the sheriff before approaching local citizens.

“To prohibit mandatory vaccinations.”

 

To prohibit federal employees from collecting census information beyond the number of adults in each home.

To block all Environmental Protection Agency employees from entering the country. (We should note here that the editor of the Republic tells us he knows of no EPA activity in the county.)

“To use the term ‘peace officer’ in lieu of the current law enforcement officer.’”

 

Robert Gairing of Stevensville, a town south of Missoula, told the Republic “we need to know definitively whether or not our public officials will defend their oath and our constitutional rights and be willing to take positive constitutional action on our behalf.”

Reached today by TPMmuckraker, Gairing, who helped compose the questionnaire, said he decided to stop talking to media because “it’s way too complicated to give justice to in an interview.” He added that no elected officials have filled out the questionnaire yet.

Equity mutual funds are burning through cash at the fastest rate in 18 years, leaving them with the smallest reserves since 2007 in a sign that gains for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may slow. 

Cash dropped to 3.6 percent of assets from 5.7 percent in January 2009, leaving managers with $172 billion in the quickest decrease since 1991, Investment Company Institute data show. The last time stock managers held such a small proportion was September 2007, a month before the S&P 500 began a 57 percent drop, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York said it will expand the number of counterparties used when the central bank begins to drain the record amount of cash added to the financial system to include domestic money market funds.

The additional firms to be used for reverse repurchase agreements are “intended to enhance the capacity of such operations to drain reserves beyond what could likely be conducted through” the use of the central banks 18 primary dealers, the New York Fed said in a statement today. The firms won’t be eligible to participate in other transactions conducted by the New York Fed.

Looking across these programs, we have now purchased $1.69 trillion of assets, bringing us 98 percent of the way through our scheduled purchases. To get to this point, the Trading Desk at the New York Fed has so far conducted 126 discrete operations to purchase Treasury and agency debt, and has managed 292 trading days on which either it or its investment managers have acquired MBS…

Under this view, the size of the Fed’s asset holdings becomes a relevant policy lever. Accordingly, this will be the first tightening cycle for which there are two broad policy decisions in play, as the FOMC will have to set out not only the path of the short-term interest rate, but also the path of its asset holdings. The decisions on these two variables will have to be made in conjunction with one another to produce the desired outcome for economic activity and inflation…

With this approach, the FOMC would be shrinking its balance sheet in a gradual and passive manner. That, in my view, is a crucial message for the markets.  It should limit any reversal of the portfolio balance effects described earlier, effectively putting reductions in asset holdings in the background for now as a policy instrument. As long as this approach is maintained, it would leave the adjustment of short-term interest rates as the more active policy instrument—the one that would carry the bulk of the work in tightening financial conditions when appropriate.

Why politics are so despicable, from ABC News: A Complicated Enemy: Obama Seeks to Vilify Health Insurers, Give Them $336 Billion Check

Neither mentioned that the Senate health reform bill, which is the basis for Democrats’ last best chance at comprehensive reform, would give the insurance companies millions of new customers required by law to buy health insurance. It would also require insurers to cover everyone, regardless of age, gender or pre- existing condition.

To help pay for the new insurance requirements the government would give to people money to buy insurance – $336 billion over the next ten years. That money, ultimately, would have to go to… drum roll… insurance companies.

Employers took 1,521 mass layoff actions in January, which resulted in 182,261 workers losing their jobs, said the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Each mass layoff involved at least 50 people from a single employer – and both layoff events and initial claims increased during January, after four consecutive decreases.

Manufacturing had the most number of mass layoffs, with 62,556 people losing their jobs in 486 different actions.

During the 26-month period from December 2007 to January 2010, the total number of people laid off was 5.4 million.

The national unemployment rate was 9.7 percent during January, down from 10 percent the month before, but up 7.7 percent from a year earlier.

Most of the layoffs were in the South and the Midwest, while the East North Central and the South Atlantic had the largest decreases in initial claims.

A small group of U.S. lawmakers unveiled legislation on Thursday to withdraw from the North American Free Trade Agreement in the latest sign of congressional disillusionment with free-trade deals.

The bill spearheaded by Rep. Gene Taylor, a Mississippi Democrat, would require President Barack Obama to give Mexico and Canada six months notice that the United States will no longer be part of the 16-year-old trade pact.

“At a time when 10 to 12 percent of the American people are unemployed, I think Congress has an obligation to put people back to work,” Taylor said.

“You’ll see the American people rally behind this, in my humble opinion,” said Rep. Walter Jones, a North Carolina Republican who is one of about 28 co-sponsors of the bill.

Business groups like the National Association of Manufacturers and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce strongly support NAFTA, which they say has spurred U.S. economic growth by tearing down trade barriers between the three countries Obama criticized NAFTA during the 2008 presidential election campaign but has not followed through on threats to withdraw from the agreement if Canada and Mexico did not agree to revamp the pact’s labor and environmental provisions.

But many Democrats are pushing for that and other changes to existing trade deals before considering any new deals such as the deals with South Korea, Colombia and Panama.

Oil and financing

Money at the heart of govt

Oil claim and the Constitution